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Dollar Inflows Into Nigeria Declines By 23%



Naira Backslides Against Dollar At Black Market

Nigeria recorded a total foreign exchange inflow of $72.4 billion in 2022, which is a 23.3% decline compared to the $94.3 billion recorded in 2021 and also 37.4% lower than $115.6 billion received in 2020. This is according to the data in the CBN quarterly statistical bulletin for Q4 2022.

Breakdown of the data showed that $29.89 billion came into the country through the CBN, while $42.49 billion came in through autonomous sources.

Conversely, a total of $40.99 billion was recorded as outflow in the same period, slightly lower than the $41.62 billion recorded in the previous year. This indicates a net surplus of $31.39 billion in the review year.

Nigeria has since been witnessing recurrent decline in dollar inflow into the economy, on the back of decline in foreign direct and portfolio investments. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), capital importation declined by 20.5% to $5.33 billion in 2022.

Ademola Adeleke

A further breakdown showed that foreign direct investment (FDI) in Nigeria dropped by 33% to $468.1 million compared to $698.87 million recorded in the previous year. Similarly, foreign portfolio investment declined by 27.9% to $2.44 billion in the review year.

Reducing FX impacting dollar supply

CBN’s dollar supply in the FX market has been impacted by the drying inflows of dollar into the Nigerian economy. Data from the CBN revealed that a total of $15.27 billion was supplied by the CBN into the economy, all of which were supplied to I&E window, SME, and Invisibles.

Compared to the previous year, FOREX supply declined by 15.3% from $18.03 billion recorded in 2021 and 31.1% drop from $22.16 billion supplied in 2020.

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It is worth noting that, the decline in the amount of FX supplied by the CBN is partially attributed to the halt of FX sales to Bureau De Change (BDC) operators in previous year. In the review year, the apex bank made no sale of dollar to BDCs, compared to $2.77 billion and $5.33 billion recorded in 2021 and 2020 respectively.

The decline in FX inflows has also affected the nation’s external reserves as the apex bank continues to defend the naira and fund import bills at the expense of the reserve level. Nigeria’s external reserves declined by $3.44 billion in 2022 to close at $37.1 billion. Furthermore, the reserves level has dropped to $35.22 billion as of 10th May 2023.

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Nigeria continues to experience decline in FX inflows following the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the world economy. This has had a ripple effect on the performance of the naira at the official and black market.

Despite the interventions by the CBN in the official Investors and Exporters window, the naira depreciated by 5.7% against the US dollar in 2022, while the exchange rate trend in the same direction at the black market by 23.1%.

Industrial sector top sectoral utilization
The industrial sector received a sum of $8.68 billion in 2022 from the CBN to fund their imports, accounting for 47.6% of the total FX supplied for import use. The manufacturing sector, followed with $3.89 billion, representing 21.3% of the total.

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Others include, food products ($2.77 billion), oil sector ($1.41 billion), minerals ($664.7 million), transportation ($521.11 million), and agriculture ($286.75 million).

In terms of invisibles, most of the funds were allocated to financial services, as they received a whopping $8.32 billion in 2022, accounting for 70.7% of the total amount, followed by educational services and business services with $1.01 billion (8.6%) and $937.8 million (8%) respectively.

Hammed Tajudeen is a graduate of Osun State Polytechnic, Iree with Higher National Diploma (HND) in Mass Communication